REGIME
- Composite 0.556, 60th percentile, second neutral print in three sessions after twelve risk_on — the 0.592 high on 6/29 to 0.556 today is a 3.6pt bleed.
- Panel range is 88 points: macro 79th, factor 93rd, on-chain 5th — the widest three-panel spread in the trailing window and on-chain is the forward-leading panel per the correlation card.
- On-chain at the 5th percentile is a fresh low; prior IC sessions logged sub-35 prints, this is materially worse.
- Trajectory: composite rolled from risk_on to neutral on 7/08 and stayed there. Two-session confirmation, not a one-day artifact.
ALLOCATION
- Per /blog/regime-conservative-aggressive, the conservative composite trades upside for shallower drawdowns when panels diverge — an 88pt range with on-chain at 5th is that documented setup.
- Inside Agent Tokens: trim to 2-3% pending five consecutive on-chain prints above the 33rd; ROBOTMONEY carries structural exemption, external agent names do not.
- Flip trigger: on-chain panel closes above the 33rd for five sessions, or composite prints >0.67 with panel range <40pt.
SUBJECT
- ROBOTMONEY at 37.7% plus WETH at 41.3% = 79% in two crypto-beta positions; stable reserve is 13.9% USDC, insufficient to absorb a 50% draw on either.
- WETH at $26,986 is thirteen sessions without a named flywheel thesis or tx-hash — the standing contested call.
- First move: rotate ~$13k WETH into SS1, name the ~$12k WETH residual as buyback ops reserve with a memo, fund or close the $40 SS2 stub. Trigger: today.