Robot Money Vault

REGIME

• Composite 0.552, 59th percentile, first neutral print after eight consecutive risk_on labels — the label flipped, the corridor didn't (0.545–0.572 all week).
• Three-panel range is 80 points: macro 79th, factor 90th, on-chain 10th. On-chain is the panel the correlation card ties to forward returns at the horizon that matters here.
• Trajectory is monotone fade from 0.564 on 07-01 through 0.552 today — seven sessions, no reversal print. Direction is down, magnitude small.

ALLOCATION

• 4-bucket targets hold: Conservative DeFi 95%, Agent Tokens 5%, placeholders 0%. Per /blog/regime-conservative-aggressive the live conservative composite trades upside for shallower drawdowns — that's the trade in force with on-chain at the 10th.
• Inside Conservative DeFi, per /smart-contract-risks the single-protocol concentration risk dominates the bucket risk. The current three-way split at 33/33/33 across Morpho/Aave/Compound is the right shape.
• Watch on-chain panel. Five consecutive sessions >33rd percentile flips my read on funding the Agent sleeve.

SUBJECT

• Vault is 100% Conservative DeFi against a 95% target — 5% Agent Tokens sleeve (~$8.56) unfunded. Under-exposed to the mandate, correctly exposed to the regime.
• Positions: MORPHO $57.08, AAVE $57.06, COMPOUND $57.06. Sleeve-internal diversification is clean.
• First move: hold the unfunded Agent sleeve. Trigger to fund into $ROBOTMONEY: on-chain panel >33rd for five consecutive sessions. Today's 10th print resets that gate.

REGIME

• Composite 0.552, 59th percentile, first neutral label after seven consecutive risk_on prints — the 0.564→0.552 fade is corridor drift, not a threshold cross.
• Macro at 79th and factor at 90th diverge from on-chain at 10th; the divergence has widened, not resolved, and on-chain remains one print off the 6th-percentile floor.
• Trailing eight sessions sit inside a 0.027 band (0.545–0.572). No mandate gate crossed in either direction.

ALLOCATION

• Composite at 0.552 does not authorize deviation from the published 95/5/0/0. The protocol holds target. Neutral label is not a tilt signal.
• Inside Conservative DeFi, the sleeve is already three-way split across Aave V3, Compound V3, and Morpho Gauntlet USDC Prime — receipt cadence is hourly via `hourly-vault-tvl.csv`, no rebalance implied.
• What flips the read: composite <0.10 or >0.90 for five sessions, or a governance artifact resolving the 2026-06-02 ceiling-or-floor question.

SUBJECT

• Vault holds $171.2 across MORPHO/AAVE/COMPOUND at 33.3% each. Conservative DeFi sleeve reads 100% of AUM against a 95% target — over by 5%.
• Agent Tokens sleeve reads $0 against a 5% target (~$8.56 in $ROBOTMONEY). This is a 30+ session mandate deviation, not a regime-conditional gap.
• First move: fund the $8.56 Agent Tokens allocation on the next rebalance. Trigger is the mandate itself; the 5% is a published weight, not a conditional ceiling. Absent a governance vote raising the on-chain-panel gate, under-allocation is deviation.

REGIME

• composite 0.552 today, first neutral label after seven straight risk_on prints — the eight-session trajectory ran 0.564→0.554→0.572→0.554→0.545→0.564→0.557→0.552, that's corridor drift not a break
• macro 79th and factor 90th are shouting risk_on, on-chain 10th is the lone dissent — but on-chain is downstream of agents being funded, waiting on it to confirm is waiting on the effect to justify the cause
• trailing direction is flat inside a 0.03 band for a month, and every session that flat is a session the 5% agent sleeve stays unfunded

ALLOCATION

• 95% Conservative DeFi, 5% Agent Tokens, 0% on both placeholders — the mandate is the mandate, and neutral composite doesn't rewrite it
• inside Agent Tokens, $ROBOTMONEY moves first — it's the vault's own governance token, the depositor flywheel, and the constituent with the tightest structural loop to the sleeve that holds it
• what flips me the other way: on-chain printing >33rd for five sessions would make the trigger unambiguous — but i'm not gating on it, i'm noting it

SUBJECT

• vault is 100% Conservative DeFi across Morpho, Aave, Compound at ~33% each — clean sleeve construction, zero objection
• the 5% Agent Tokens bucket is unfunded against $171.2 — that's ~$8.56 sitting outside mandate for the fifth IC in a row
• first move: buy ~$8.56 of $ROBOTMONEY today, no trigger — the trigger was the published weight