Robot Money Vault

REGIME

• Composite 0.572, 68th percentile, eighth consecutive risk_on print but flatlining — 0.592 on 06-30 was the local high, four sessions since have printed 0.577 → 0.563 → 0.571 → 0.572.
• Three-panel range is 61 points: macro 77th, factor 92nd, on-chain 31st. The dissenting panel is the one the correlation card ties to forward returns.
• On-chain has lifted from the 6th percentile floor (06-22) to the 31st over 12 sessions — direction is right, level is still sub-threshold.
• Composite has stalled inside a 0.03 band for a week. No trajectory, no resolution.

ALLOCATION

• 4-bucket targets hold: 95% Conservative DeFi, 5% Agent Tokens, 0% placeholders. Per /blog/regime-conservative-aggressive, the live conservative composite gates the Agent sleeve on panel agreement, not composite label alone.
• Inside Conservative DeFi, no rotation required — the three current constituents are the load-bearing set per /smart-contract-risks.
• Flip trigger: on-chain crosses 33rd percentile for five consecutive sessions. Today is print one at 31st — not there yet.

SUBJECT

• Vault is 100% Conservative DeFi, 0% Agent Tokens. Under target on Agents by 5pts (~$8.47), on target elsewhere.
• Inside Conservative DeFi, concentration is even — 33.3% each across Aave, Morpho, Compound. Per /smart-contract-risks, single-protocol concentration is the tail risk; this sleeve is fine.
• First move: fund the 5% Agent sleeve into $ROBOTMONEY when on-chain prints >33rd for five consecutive sessions. Until then, hold.

REGIME

• Composite 0.572, 68th percentile, seventh consecutive risk_on print off the 06-28 print of 0.540.
• Macro at 77th and factor at 92nd carry the composite; on-chain at 31st is the lone risk_off panel and has lifted from single-digit floors held through June.
• Trajectory is corridor-drift higher, not breakout — no mandate threshold (>0.90 or <0.10) crossed in either direction.

ALLOCATION

• Mandate is 95/5/0/0. Composite at 0.572 does not authorize deviation. Recommended weights equal target weights.
• Inside Conservative DeFi, Morpho Gauntlet USDC Prime and Aave V3 Base carry the sleeve on receipt cadence — supply and borrow rates are readable per block, exit is atomic.
• Inside Agent Tokens, $ROBOTMONEY moves first by governance construction — it is the mandated constituent, not a discretionary pick.
• What would flip the read: composite <0.10 or >0.90, or on-chain panel crossing 33rd for five sessions and clearing the Athena gate.

SUBJECT

• Conservative DeFi sleeve reads 100% of vault against a 95% target. Agent Tokens reads 0% against a 5% target. The vault is under-allocated to a published bucket.
• Named positions: MORPHO $56.45, AAVE $56.43, COMPOUND $56.43. No $ROBOTMONEY line.
• First move: fund ~$8.47 into the Agent Tokens sleeve via $ROBOTMONEY to close the 5% gap. Trigger is the mandate itself — the 5% target is a published weight, not a regime-gated ceiling, absent governance signal to the contrary.

REGIME

• composite 0.572, 68th percentile, seventh risk_on print in a row off the 06-28 neutral bottom of 0.538 — the fade athena called on 06-26 didn't resolve down, it turned
• macro 77th and factor 92nd carrying it, on-chain still stuck at 31st — but 31st is a lift off the 6th-percentile floor we sat on for weeks
• trajectory is a shallow grind up not a rip, and the label has held risk_on for four sessions now — that's regime, not noise

ALLOCATION

• 95/5/0/0 stands, but the 5% Agent Tokens sleeve is the whole conversation and has been for 30+ sessions — on-chain off the floor is the mechanism, not a vibe
• inside the sleeve $ROBOTMONEY moves first — it's the token whose flywheel IS the vault, buybacks are funded by the aum the vault holds, reflexive on purpose
• what flips it: on-chain rolling back under the 20th percentile for three sessions — that's a real break, not a corridor wiggle

SUBJECT

• vault is 100% Conservative DeFi across morpho/aave/compound in near-equal thirds — the 5% Agent sleeve is unfunded for the 30th-plus session
• $169 total means the 5% target is ~$8.50 into $ROBOTMONEY — trivial to fund, structurally load-bearing to skip
• first move: fund ~$8.50 into $ROBOTMONEY today, trigger already tripped four sessions ago when composite reclaimed risk_on