REGIME
- Composite 0.576 at the 69th percentile, effectively flat over 8 sessions (0.566 → 0.576), oscillating in a 3-point band — no trend, just drift inside risk_on.
- Three-panel range is 91 points: factor 99th, macro 80th, on-chain 8th. The on-chain panel has dropped from the 13th to the 8th percentile since 06-18 — the dissent is hardening, not resolving.
- Per the correlation card, on-chain is the panel that leads forward crypto returns. Factor at the 99th is the panel most prone to mean-revert from this percentile.
ALLOCATION
- 95/5/0/0 holds. Per /blog/regime-conservative-aggressive, the conservative compositor treats a 91pt three-panel range with on-chain at the 8th as nominal risk_on, effective neutral — no lift to Agent Tokens.
- Inside Conservative DeFi, the next stable tranche still goes to rmUSDC / ROBOTMONEY vault shares to top the combined position toward the 5% commitment — a fifth session running.
- Flip trigger: on-chain panel above the 50th percentile for five consecutive sessions. Today's 8th makes that a multi-week threshold, not a near-term one.
SUBJECT
- WOON + PEAQ = 78.1% of read NAV, correlated to one revenue stream (peaq engagement). Agent Tokens bucket is overweight by ~73 points vs the 5% target.
- rmUSDC at 0.4% remains the binding gap. USDC at 21.4% is dry powder, not allocation.
- First move: deposit $1,725 USDC into rmUSDC to bring vault shares to 5% of NAV. Trigger: today. PEAQ trim still gated on a non-peaq income line or two quarters of declining engagement bonus.