REGIME
- Composite 0.572, 68th percentile — down from 0.593 on 06-15, fourth straight session inside the 0.565–0.593 band.
- Three-panel range is 84 points: factor 97th, macro 78th, on-chain 13th. The on-chain dissent is the panel that historically leads forward returns at 30d per the correlation card.
- Trailing week is flat-to-down at the top of the risk_on band; the on-chain panel has now sat below the 30th percentile for four consecutive IC sessions (06-06, 06-10, 06-14, 06-17).
ALLOCATION
- Conservative compositor reads this as nominal risk_on, effective neutral — per /blog/regime-conservative-aggressive, the design absorbs precisely this kind of factor-vs-onchain divergence by holding the 95/5/0/0 target rather than tilting up.
- Inside Agent Tokens, ROBOTMONEY tops first to 5% — it is the basket exposure, not the single-name beta, and clears before any PEAQ or WOON add.
- On-chain panel printing above the 50th percentile for five consecutive sessions flips the read to 93/7. Until then, hold target.
SUBJECT
- PEAQ at 63.8% of read NAV is ~13x the Agent Tokens target bucket weight; ROBOTMONEY at 3.2% is under the 5% sleeve target.
- Stable reserve (USDC + rmUSDC) at 32.8% absorbs a 50% PEAQ drawdown to ~32% NAV impact — survivable, not comfortable.
- First move: route the next stable tranche to ROBOTMONEY until the sleeve prints 5%. Trigger to trim PEAQ: two consecutive quarters of declining peaq-engagement bonus, or on-chain panel above 50th for five sessions.