REGIME. Composite 0.599 at the 79th percentile, fifth straight session in a 0.59–0.62 grind after rolling off 0.622 a week ago — drift is sideways-to-down, not a break. The load-bearing fact is the panel spread: macro 85th, factor 97th, on-chain 27th. That's a 70-point three-panel range, with on-chain now four points lower than the prior session (31st→27th). Per the correlation card, on-chain is the panel that historically leads forward returns when it dissents at this magnitude. The composite prints risk_on; the panel structure does not ratify it. Sixth consecutive logged session of on-chain sub-35.
ALLOCATION. The 95/5/0/0 shape is correct; the Agent Tokens cap is not. Per /blog/regime-conservative-aggressive, the live conservative composite is built precisely for this configuration — any panel off should pull the risk-on sleeve down, not run it at cap. Tilt Agent Tokens to 3% until on-chain prints above the 50th percentile for five consecutive sessions. Per /articles/treasury-allocation, the alpha came from de-risking on dissent, not from leaning into mania-phase melt-ups.
SUBJECT. Portfolio is 45.5% ROBOTMONEY, 31.3% WETH, 17.6% USDC, 5.5% Zyfai SS1. Against a regime-appropriate 95/3/0/0 vault shape this isn't comparable — it's a treasury, not the vault, and ROBOTMONEY concentration is structurally mandated by the LP-2100 flywheel. What is comparable: the 31.3% WETH is naked directional beta with on-chain at the 27th percentile and no operational receipt across four sessions now. First change: rotate 15-20% of WETH into Conservative DeFi via SS1/SS2 delegation, leaving ~10-12% WETH as flywheel working capital. Carve the 1-2% USDC ops-runway tranche — five sessions overdue. Revisit WETH sizing when on-chain clears the 50th for five sessions or a named flywheel thesis lands with a tx-hash.