REGIME. Composite 0.623 at the 87th percentile, three sessions above the 0.67 risk-on threshold tag from the prior IC frame. Macro 93rd, on-chain 30th, equity factor 99th — a 69-point three-panel range, and the on-chain dissent has now persisted across four IC sessions while macro and factor pile higher. Per the trailing-year correlation card, on-chain leads forward returns when it dissents this hard from macro. The trajectory (0.612 → 0.623, flat-up over a week) is not a melt-up — it's macro and factor pinning a print the on-chain panel hasn't ratified.
ALLOCATION. The 95/5/0/0 shape is correct; the tilt is not at the 5% cap. Per /blog/regime-conservative-aggressive, the live conservative composite exists precisely because aggressive reads in panel-divergent regimes whipsaw — and a 69-point spread with on-chain at the 30th is the textbook setup. Per /articles/treasury-allocation, cycle alpha came from de-risking before drawdowns, not pressing beta into divergent risk-on prints. Agent Tokens should sit at 3-4%, not 5%. Revisit trigger: on-chain panel above the 50th percentile for five consecutive sessions.
SUBJECT. ROBOTMONEY is 73.8% of read value; WETH 13.0%; delegated stables 13.0%; USDC on primary is effectively zero. Against the vault framework the portfolio is structurally over-exposed to one correlated asset and has no ops float — the 1-2% USDC tranche on primary has been the unresolved ask for four sessions running. A 50% drawdown of ROBOTMONEY against an on-chain panel that historically leads such moves implies ~37% NAV impact with no absorption layer. First change, same as the prior three sessions: carve 1-2% USDC on the Primary wallet to separate ops runway from flywheel inventory before the on-chain panel resolves the divergence.