REGIME. Composite at the 71st percentile (0.528), holding risk-on for seven consecutive sessions after a 2026-05-20 neutral print. The headline is the panel divergence: macro at the 99th, on-chain at the 23rd — a 76-point spread. Per /blog/regime-conservative-aggressive, the live conservative composite would normally pull this lower; the fact that it still reads risk-on means macro is doing all the lifting. Historically, when on-chain sits sub-25th while macro is pinned at the ceiling, resolution skews toward macro mean-reverting down, not on-chain catching up.
ALLOCATION. The 95/5/0/0 targets are roughly correct for a 71st-percentile composite but the panel divergence argues against tilting Agent Tokens up to the cap. Per /articles/treasury-allocation, most cycle alpha came from being de-risked into drawdowns, not levered into mania — and the on-chain panel at the 23rd is the panel that historically leads on-chain drawdowns. I'd hold Agent Tokens at 3-4%, not 5%, until on-chain clears the 33rd percentile (the risk-off threshold per /regime-